Background
Tracked nightly · 22 providers

The Novel Index

One number, asked every night: what's the cheapest price to make an AI write a whole novel? The novel is The Hobbit — 95,356 words. Like the Big Mac Index, it turns abstract token pricing into a single figure you can feel.

Checked nightly · data through 15 Sep 2026 · current index verified · Bilton Projects
📖 The Novel Index · today
$0.0051
cheapest · DeepInfra · verified 15 Sep 2026
⛽ Benchmark
$0.318
Gemini Flash-Lite · verified 15 Sep 2026
↔ Spread
748×
$0.0051 → $3.81
The floor over time
17 Aug 2026 → 15 Sep 2026

The cheapest available price to generate the whole novel, tracked nightly since launch. The floor has held near half a cent — even as the providers behind it keep undercutting each other.

Novel Index history through 2026-09-15The cheapest full-novel output cost moved from $0.0051 to $0.0051; the Gemini benchmark is $0.318.
The Novel Index (cheapest) Gemini Flash-Lite benchmark carried observation
Write the whole novel on every provider
today · Small tier

The same 95,356-word novel, generated on each provider's cheapest model. From half a cent to over sixty — a 748× spread for identical output.

DeepInfra
$0.0051index
Cohere
$0.019
Together
$0.025carried · last verified 31 Aug 2026
Groq
$0.038
Fireworks
$0.038carried · last verified 29 Aug 2026
OpenRouter
$0.041
SambaNova
$0.075
Mistral
$0.076
Cerebras
$0.095
AWS Bedrock
$0.123
Perplexity
$0.127
GLM
$0.140
DeepSeek
$0.153
MiniMax
$0.153
OpenAI
$0.153
Qwen
$0.191
xAI Grok
$0.254
Google Gemini
$0.318benchmark
Kimi
$0.381carried · last verified 30 Aug 2026
Meta Llama
$0.540
Anthropic
$0.636
Sakana AI
$3.81
▸ bars on a log scale to fit the ~100× range · values are real
Compare providers over time novel cost · last 30 days

The cost to write the whole novel on each provider, tracked nightly — watch them race to the bottom and undercut each other. Tap a provider to add or remove its line.

step lines · output cost to write the whole novel · grey dots = carried observations · tap chips to compare
How it's calculated

The Novel Index is the output cost to generate ~95,356 words — the full text of The Hobbit (word count verified via Project Gutenberg). At roughly 0.75 words per token, that's 127,141 output tokens. The index multiplies that by each provider's output price, then takes the lowest across all 22. Because it's output-only and the cheapest of 22, it sits below total-cost headlines for any single provider — like the launch-day "$0.06 to write The Hobbit on Gemini Flash-Lite," which counted input + output on one model.

The benchmark line pins to Google's Gemini Flash-Lite, a fixed, well-known reference point, the way the Big Mac Index uses one standard burger. It moves when Google moves. Grey dots and rows are carried observations: the last known value is retained for that date, not presented as freshly verified.

🧩 The Novel Index is just one slice of TokenScale. The full tool maps any content size — an email, a tweet, a legal contract, a PhD thesis, an entire codebase — onto live pricing across every provider. The novel is simply the most quotable one. Open the full tool →
Open it on TokenScale →
TokenScale · Bilton Projects· AI API pricing in words you know· Price moves· Today's prices· tokenscale.dev

⚠ Point-in-time figures, not live quotes. Providers change rates (and run limited promos) often. Always confirm on the relevant provider source linked by the full tool before relying on a number. TokenScale keeps the independent observation history. The Novel Index is the output cost to generate ~95,356 words; The Hobbit is used purely as a fixed, recognisable word count.